1.24.2010

Sure, Nate Silver

But your table fails to account for varying voter intensity on any of the given aspects of the health care bill that you tabulate.  If the individual mandate is the real gravamen of people's opposition, it doesn't much matter what they feel about all the other provisions.

I'd also note that the Democrats sealed the deal by creating so much uncertainty early in the process that few were really sure if there was a bill, or if there was one, what was in it.  It was never really clear to the public, I'd submit, what bill version - and specific provisions - was up for a vote in Nancy Pelosi's rapidfire push for House passage.  The fear that move generated through sheer uncertainty was quite damaging.

The debate about federal government involvement in health care took place before any definitive, concrete bill existed as the basis for debate.  And thus the fight played out more over first principles - and whether the overall concept was even appropriate given everything else on the nation's plate at the time.